Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.008106 0.009521 0.011216 0.013430 0.016295 0.019948 0.025082
2025-07-20 0.006401 0.008118 0.010420 0.013848 0.019044 0.027054 0.041346
2025-07-27 0.005374 0.007151 0.009711 0.013882 0.020986 0.033722 0.061866
2025-08-03 0.004704 0.006489 0.009208 0.013964 0.022896 0.041255 0.091564
2025-08-10 0.004113 0.005821 0.008527 0.013521 0.023637 0.046911 0.124578
2025-08-17 0.003602 0.005192 0.007785 0.012763 0.023454 0.050394 0.157455
2025-08-24 0.003218 0.004713 0.007213 0.012185 0.023445 0.054399 0.202002
2025-08-31 0.003025 0.004519 0.007099 0.012468 0.025521 0.066051 0.323455
2025-09-07 0.002781 0.004209 0.006729 0.012138 0.025963 0.072941 0.453000
2025-09-14 0.002552 0.003903 0.006325 0.011655 0.025839 0.077850 0.606928
2025-09-21 0.002407 0.003728 0.006148 0.011643 0.027058 0.089777 1.004909
2025-09-28 0.002319 0.003646 0.006139 0.012016 0.029619 0.111710 2.279911
2025-10-05 0.002257 0.003618 0.006259 0.012806 0.034278 0.157269 13.224925
2025-10-12 0.002159 0.003516 0.006217 0.013198 0.037951 0.210202 573.026636
2025-10-19 0.002044 0.003367 0.006055 0.013231 0.040317 0.263969 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001944 0.003239 0.005920 0.013307 0.043010 0.339068 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001822 0.003055 0.005639 0.012892 0.043216 0.385669 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001693 0.002848 0.005282 0.012182 0.041623 0.397629 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001585 0.002677 0.004994 0.011640 0.040685 0.422819 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001536 0.002622 0.004967 0.011905 0.044326 0.593263 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001458 0.002500 0.004772 0.011596 0.044546 0.684046 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001378 0.002371 0.004546 0.011142 0.043682 0.737020 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001327 0.002300 0.004456 0.011130 0.045659 0.965484 NaN